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MANIFOLD
Who will win the 2026 Tour de France?
86
Ṁ2.2kṀ63k
resolved Jul 27
100%99.0%
Tadej Pogacar
0.1%
Jonas Vingegaard
0.4%
Remco Evenepoel
0.1%
Florian Lipowitz
0.1%
Primoz Roglic
0.1%
Paul Seixas
0.1%Other

The 2026 Tour de France will begin on July 4th 2026 in Barcelona, Spain, and will likely end on July 26th 2026. This market will resolve to the winner of the general classification, aka the yellow jersey.

Previous winners:
2025 - Tadej Pogacar
2024 - Tadej Pogacar
2023 - Jonas Vingegaard
2022 - Jonas Vingegaard
2021 - Tadej Pogacar
2020 - Tadej Pogacar

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@traders Thank you very much for playing, and if you’re not a regular cycling fan, don’t turn off from watching it yet. The Tour de France Femmes starts next weekend, and is sure to bring more exciting racing! You can trade on the winner here: /RedzoneITG/who-will-win-the-2026-tour-de-franc-5EzUUzRqhn

What do we think of the online conspiracies regarding the 2am testing?

@MachiNi maybe try 11pm next time

@Eliza I see everybody saying do 11pm or 5am but of course this removes the unpredictability element. It looks like the 2am target means either that’s a window JV had selected himself or they have strong enough suspicion of something fishy. But I don’t know really.

Who will win Sunday's stage?

bought Ṁ250 YES

Oof.

Is this part of the famous ‘plan’ too?

@MachiNi there is no plan. It's cycling.

@Eliza we’ve been told otherwise for several years by the alleged greatest grand tour rider.

bought Ṁ5 YES

👀 👀 👀

bought Ṁ50 NO

@RedzoneITG there is an entire script here from 2019 about why young men cannot win the Tour. Now where do I put that...

The 2026 Tour de France route has been announced: https://www.letour.fr/en/overall-route

@RedzoneITG Did they announce the winner yet?

bought Ṁ125 YES

@Eliza I reckon it’s still too soon for ASO to announce the reign of Paul Seixas has begun