Lanterne Rouge Cycling Podcast 2026 Hot Takes Megamarket
4
1.2kแน€1884
Dec 31
4%
[Visma] Matthew Brennan wins Milan-San Remo
5%
[Visma] Timo Kielich finishes in the top 5 at Paris-Roubaix
6%
[Visma] Bruno Armirail wins a Tour de France stage
6%
[Visma] Wilco Kelderman wins a race
29%
[Visma] Sepp Kuss finishes better than Jonas Vingegaard at the Tour de France
25%
[Visma] A French rider on Visma wins a WorldTour stage race GC
25%
[Visma] Matthew Brennan wins 3 Vuelta stages + the green jersey
1.2%
[NSN] Corbin Strong podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege
15%
[NSN] Biniam Girmay wins a 1.UWT race
65%
[Lotto-Intermarche] 13 or more victories (.1 or higher)
24%
[Lotto-Intermarche] 4 or more WorldTour victories
54%
[UAE] 40 or more WorldTour victories
73%
[UAE] Antonio Morgado podiums a 1.UWT classic race
8%
[UAE] Tadej Pogacar wins all five Monuments
15%
[Alpecin] Win the points classification in two Grand Tours
8%
[Alpecin] Jasper Philipsen wins Gent-Wevelgem
41%
[Ineos] Egan Bernal and Brandon Rivera sign with Movistar before EOY 2026
24%
[Ineos] Joshua Tarling wins more time trials than Remco Evenepoel
76%
[Ineos] Sam Welsford wins 4 times as many races (or more) as Arne Marit
34%
[Soudal-Quickstep] Ilan van Wilder has a better average finishing position than Remco Evenepoel in the Ardennes classics (Amstel, Fleche, LBL)

The Lanterne Rouge Cycling Podcast produce a series of videos in the cycling offseason where they discuss cycling teams, review their past season, and analyze, predict, and offer hot takes of questionable likelihood on their upcoming season. I will record any prediction or hot take mentioned in their podcasts in this market.

  • Update 2025-11-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "[Red Bull-BORA] Florian Lipowitz places better than Remco Evenepoel at the Tour de France": This will resolve N/A if only one of them or neither of them start the Tour de France.

  • Update 2025-11-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "[Lidl-Trek] 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season": This will resolve YES only if Lidl-Trek finishes exactly 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season (not 2nd or 4th).

  • Update 2025-12-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "[Ineos] Sam Welsford wins 4x or more races as Arne Marit": This will resolve YES if Arne Marit wins zero races and Sam Welsford wins one or more races.

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bought แน€10 YES

@RedzoneITG If Sepp starts and finishes, but Jonas DNS or DNF, still a Yes?

@Eliza I think same rules as the Remco/Lipo market should apply. If one or both DNS, resolve N/A; if both start and Sepp finishes but Jonas DNFโ€™s, resolve YES

bought แน€40 NO

Not a hot take, according to LR ๐Ÿ˜‚

bought แน€10 YES

@RedzoneITG Does three count as 4x of zero?

bought แน€10 YES

@Eliza Yes. If Arne Marit wins zero races and Sam Welsford wins one or more, that would resolve YES

@RedzoneITG Actually a pretty interesting one. Buying Yes for now but womens cycling changes fast!

bought แน€10 YES

@RedzoneITG Strongly depends on the schedule they pick for Ayuso. I feel like the team will just send him to the TDF but I didn't read anything about plans.

@RedzoneITG I assume this one means exactly 3rd, not 2nd or 4th?

bought แน€4 YES

@Eliza Yep, 3rd exactly

bought แน€20 YES

@RedzoneITG I think they'll overperform, yeah.

bought แน€5 NO

@Eliza Yeah I was surprised on how low they seem on the team's top level ability. I think it also depends a lot on the team's scheduling and goals; they could probably win like 15 if they sent Kooij to farm sprints in weaker 2.UWTs, used Riccitello, Gall, Prodhomme, etc aggressively in mountain breakaways instead of aiming for GC, that kind of thing.

@RedzoneITG Since this is a "hot take" rather than a regular H2H prop bet, should it resolve even if one or the other fails to start/finish the race? So it resolves Yes if Lipowitz finishes the TDF and his finish position is higher than Remco (including if Remco does not start/finish the TDF), and resolves No in all other cases?

@Eliza I was thinking N/A if only one of them or neither of them start

bought แน€50 NO

@RedzoneITG Alright, so just standard H2H rules, thanks for clarifying!

bought แน€10 YES

Yeah probably better in one place than 27 markets.

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