The Lanterne Rouge Cycling Podcast produce a series of videos in the cycling offseason where they discuss cycling teams, review their past season, and analyze, predict, and offer hot takes of questionable likelihood on their upcoming season. I will record any prediction or hot take mentioned in their podcasts in this market.
Update 2025-11-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "[Red Bull-BORA] Florian Lipowitz places better than Remco Evenepoel at the Tour de France": This will resolve N/A if only one of them or neither of them start the Tour de France.
Update 2025-11-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "[Lidl-Trek] 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season": This will resolve YES only if Lidl-Trek finishes exactly 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season (not 2nd or 4th).
Update 2025-12-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "[Ineos] Sam Welsford wins 4x or more races as Arne Marit": This will resolve YES if Arne Marit wins zero races and Sam Welsford wins one or more races.
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@RedzoneITG Someone always sneaks their condition for this in at the Tour of Guangxi; in this case it was Widar taking the mountain stage and GC to get them to exactly the 4 they needed!
@RedzoneITG This is gonna be a highlight of the season. We might need "Arne Marit wins 4x as many races as Welsford"
@Eliza Marit came 2nd by a half a wheel to Girmay today in his 2nd race of the season. Welsford is going to have a long way to go.
@Eliza I think same rules as the Remco/Lipo market should apply. If one or both DNS, resolve N/A; if both start and Sepp finishes but Jonas DNFβs, resolve YES
@Eliza Yes. If Arne Marit wins zero races and Sam Welsford wins one or more, that would resolve YES
@RedzoneITG Strongly depends on the schedule they pick for Ayuso. I feel like the team will just send him to the TDF but I didn't read anything about plans.
@Eliza Yeah I was surprised on how low they seem on the team's top level ability. I think it also depends a lot on the team's scheduling and goals; they could probably win like 15 if they sent Kooij to farm sprints in weaker 2.UWTs, used Riccitello, Gall, Prodhomme, etc aggressively in mountain breakaways instead of aiming for GC, that kind of thing.
@RedzoneITG Since this is a "hot take" rather than a regular H2H prop bet, should it resolve even if one or the other fails to start/finish the race? So it resolves Yes if Lipowitz finishes the TDF and his finish position is higher than Remco (including if Remco does not start/finish the TDF), and resolves No in all other cases?