Will Bing integrate ChatGPT from OpenAI before the end of 2023'Q1?
Resolved
YES

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-04/microsoft-hopes-openai-s-chatbot-will-make-bing-smarter

Will resolve YES if and only if answers from a ChatBot (e.g. ChatGPT) from OpenAI become available from the Bing homepage.

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meefburger avatar
Rickpredicted YES at 82%

I'm not sure what level of access is required for this to resolve positive, but they said there's a preview available today from the front page of Bing, which has a waitlist (both the 'chat' button and the 'New Bing' box take you to the page with the GPT-based bot they announced today):

RealityQuotient avatar
Reality Quotient

@meefburger If I get confirmation that it's available externally, I'll resolve. That is, some high trust-worthiness reports from people who are not working for MSFT or OpenAI, or if it becomes available for anyone to try. A waitlist isn't enough to qualify.

meefburger avatar
Rickpredicted YES at 91%

@RealityQuotient Bing GPT recommended that I send you a screenshot of the chat.

meefburger avatar
Rickbought Ṁ40 of YES
meefburger avatar
Rickpredicted YES at 81%

That's from the MS event

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserherebought Ṁ50 of YES

@meefburger Another one

zQ4Z82W avatar
zQ4Z82Wbought Ṁ100 of YES

https://www.engadget.com/microsoft-surprise-event-bing-chatgpt-201414297.html

Microsoft has confirmed plans for an event tomorrow (invitations were sent out last week) at its Redmond headquarters at 1PM Eastern. The company will only say that chief Satya Nadella will share details on some "exciting projects," but it's expected to show its integration of ChatGPT into Bing and other uses of the conversational AI technology.

HenriThunberg avatar
Henri Thunbergpredicted YES at 51%

HenriThunberg avatar
Henri Thunbergbought Ṁ100 of YES

Do you guys think the Feb 3rd Owen Ying leak for Bing + ChatGPT is real?
I just created a market for it: https://manifold.markets/HenriThunberg/will-the-bing-chatgpt-leak-from-owe

NoaNabeshima avatar
Noa Nabeshimapredicted YES at 41%

Microsoft’s second-place search engine Bing is poised to incorporate a faster and richer version of ChatGPT, known as GPT-4, into its product in the coming weeks, marking rapid progress in the booming field of generative AI and a long-awaited challenge to Google’s dominance of search.

OpenAI’s latest software responds much faster than the current version, and the replies sound more human and are more detailed, according to people familiar with the product and rollout plans.

meefburger avatar
Rickbought Ṁ10 of YES

Not clear to me they’ll integrate it into Bing in time as required for this market, but it does look like the plan to use the technology for many things in the near-ish future: https://www.wsj.com/articles/microsoft-plans-to-build-openai-capabilities-into-all-products-11673947774

VivaLaPanda avatar
VivaLaPandabought Ṁ100 of NO

Can see OAI tech but not ChatGPT as it exists under that name

RealityQuotient avatar
Reality Quotient

@VivaLaPanda The name will not factor in to the resolution. If OAI tech is the basis, I'll resolve YES.