Will Bing integrate ChatGPT from OpenAI before the end of 2023'Q1?
136
269
2K
resolved Feb 9
Resolved
YES

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-04/microsoft-hopes-openai-s-chatbot-will-make-bing-smarter

Will resolve YES if and only if answers from a ChatBot (e.g. ChatGPT) from OpenAI become available from the Bing homepage.

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1,829
2Ṁ1,731
3Ṁ337
4Ṁ310
5Ṁ273
Sort by:
predicted NO

But it isn't available on the Bing homepage?

predicted NO

Chat mode is only available when you have access to the new Bing.

It's essentially desktop software as things stand, rather than an integration into the homepage. Also, I think there's still a waitlist?

@finnhambly True. I never said, nor considered that it had to be the home page. I believe there was another belief market where the creator of it had that requirement, which might by why you're thinking that should be required here.

predicted NO

@RealityQuotient

Will resolve YES if and only if answers from a ChatBot (e.g. ChatGPT) from OpenAI become available from the Bing homepage.

?

predicted YES

@finnhambly I accessed it from the Bing home page

predicted YES

predicted NO

@meefburger Sorry I meant the new Edge, I see this:

And there's clearly still a waitlist, so I'm not sure why it's already resolved, since @RealityQuotient said "A waitlist isn't enough to qualify" in the comments.

@finnhambly A waitlist isn't enough to qualify, people outside of MSFT being able to use it did qualify, and we got hard evidence of that. That is, some people made it through the waitlist.

predicted YES

I'm not sure what level of access is required for this to resolve positive, but they said there's a preview available today from the front page of Bing, which has a waitlist (both the 'chat' button and the 'New Bing' box take you to the page with the GPT-based bot they announced today):

@meefburger If I get confirmation that it's available externally, I'll resolve. That is, some high trust-worthiness reports from people who are not working for MSFT or OpenAI, or if it becomes available for anyone to try. A waitlist isn't enough to qualify.

predicted YES

@RealityQuotient Bing GPT recommended that I send you a screenshot of the chat.

bought Ṁ40 of YES
predicted YES

That's from the MS event

bought Ṁ50 of YES

@meefburger Another one

bought Ṁ100 of YES

https://www.engadget.com/microsoft-surprise-event-bing-chatgpt-201414297.html

Microsoft has confirmed plans for an event tomorrow (invitations were sent out last week) at its Redmond headquarters at 1PM Eastern. The company will only say that chief Satya Nadella will share details on some "exciting projects," but it's expected to show its integration of ChatGPT into Bing and other uses of the conversational AI technology.

predicted YES

bought Ṁ100 of YES

Do you guys think the Feb 3rd Owen Ying leak for Bing + ChatGPT is real?
I just created a market for it: https://manifold.markets/HenriThunberg/will-the-bing-chatgpt-leak-from-owe

predicted YES

Microsoft’s second-place search engine Bing is poised to incorporate a faster and richer version of ChatGPT, known as GPT-4, into its product in the coming weeks, marking rapid progress in the booming field of generative AI and a long-awaited challenge to Google’s dominance of search.

OpenAI’s latest software responds much faster than the current version, and the replies sound more human and are more detailed, according to people familiar with the product and rollout plans.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Not clear to me they’ll integrate it into Bing in time as required for this market, but it does look like the plan to use the technology for many things in the near-ish future: https://www.wsj.com/articles/microsoft-plans-to-build-openai-capabilities-into-all-products-11673947774

bought Ṁ100 of NO

Can see OAI tech but not ChatGPT as it exists under that name

@VivaLaPanda The name will not factor in to the resolution. If OAI tech is the basis, I'll resolve YES.