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MANIFOLD
How will Prabowo Subianto leave office?
1
Ṁ175Ṁ85
2034
4%
Dies in office in his first term
9%
Resigns/Ousted in his first term
20%
At the end of his first term on 20 October 2029
9%
Dies in office in his second term
9%
Resigns/Ousted in office in his second term
41%
At the end of his second term on 20 October 2034
9%
Other

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the official manner in which Prabowo Subianto concludes his presidency of Indonesia. The outcome will be determined by official announcements from the government of Indonesia, reputable news outlets, and records from the General Elections Commission (KPU) or the People's Consultative Assembly (MPR).

  • Dies in office in his first term: Prabowo Subianto passes away prior to October 20, 2029.

  • Resigns in his first term: Prabowo Subianto formally resigns from the presidency prior to October 20, 2029.

  • At the end of his first term on 20 October 2029: Prabowo Subianto completes his full first term and leaves office on this date.

  • Dies in office in his second term: Prabowo Subianto is re-elected and passes away prior to October 20, 2034.

  • Resigns in office in his second term: Prabowo Subianto is re-elected and formally resigns prior to October 20, 2034.

  • At the end of his second term on 20 October 2034: Prabowo Subianto completes his full second term and leaves office on this date.

If Prabowo Subianto leaves office for any reason not listed above, the market will resolve to the 'Other' option. For example, using unconstitutional means to stay president beyond the term elected to.

Market context
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