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MANIFOLD
How will Prabowo Subianto leave office?
14%
Dies in office in his first term
14%
Resigns in his first term
14%
At the end of his first term on 20 October 2029
14%
Dies in office in his second term
14%
Resigns in office in his second term
14%
At the end of his second term on 20 October 2034
14%
Other

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the official manner in which Prabowo Subianto concludes his presidency of Indonesia. The outcome will be determined by official announcements from the government of Indonesia, reputable news outlets, and records from the General Elections Commission (KPU) or the People's Consultative Assembly (MPR).

  • Dies in office in his first term: Prabowo Subianto passes away prior to October 20, 2029.

  • Resigns in his first term: Prabowo Subianto formally resigns from the presidency prior to October 20, 2029.

  • At the end of his first term on 20 October 2029: Prabowo Subianto completes his full first term and leaves office on this date.

  • Dies in office in his second term: Prabowo Subianto is re-elected and passes away prior to October 20, 2034.

  • Resigns in office in his second term: Prabowo Subianto is re-elected and formally resigns prior to October 20, 2034.

  • At the end of his second term on 20 October 2034: Prabowo Subianto completes his full second term and leaves office on this date.

If Prabowo Subianto leaves office for any reason not listed above (e.g., impeachment/removal), the market will resolve to the 'Other' option.

Background

Prabowo Subianto was inaugurated as the 8th President of Indonesia on October 20, 2024, following his victory in the 2024 presidential election. The Indonesian constitution limits the president to a maximum of two five-year terms. The transition of power and the expiration of presidential terms are legally anchored to October 20. Market participants should monitor official state proceedings regarding the president's tenure.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

Market context
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