Will JD Vance refuse to certify any electoral college votes in the 2028 election?
13
แน€1059
2029
30%
chance

Conditional on JD Vance actively serving in the role of vice-president during the 2028 American federal election, will he refuse to certify any of the electoral college votes for the presidency, as initially cast by the state electors?

If Vance is not VP at the relevant time, market resolves N/A.

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The electoral count act of 2022 clarifies that the give president has no power to adjudicate the validity of votes so doing so would not affect the outcome of who gets inaugurated, unless Congress were to first repeal of amend that act

Depends on who will win