La Jolla an independent city before 2032?
5
100Ṁ50
2031
39%
chance

Resolution criteria:

This market resolves to "YES" if La Jolla officially incorporates as a separate city from San Diego, establishing its own government, services, and jurisdiction before January 1, 2032. It resolves to "NO" if La Jolla remains part of San Diego as of this date.

Background:

La Jolla, a coastal community within San Diego, has a history of seeking independence dating back to the 1950s. The most recent effort, led by the Association for the City of La Jolla, aims to address local concerns such as infrastructure maintenance and governance by establishing a separate city. In March 2025, the group fell short of the required signatures to advance the secession process but was granted a 15-day extension to gather additional support.

San Diego Mayor Todd Gloria has expressed strong opposition to the secession, indicating that the city would not provide essential services like police, landfill, or sewage to a new city of La Jolla if the effort succeeds.

The process of secession involves multiple steps, including approval from the Local Agency Formation Commission (LAFCO), a feasibility study, and majority votes from both La Jolla residents and the broader San Diego electorate.

Given the complexities and historical challenges associated with such efforts, the outcome remains uncertain.

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