MANIFOLD
Who will be on the Complex Systems podcast in 2025?
14
Ṁ3kṀ28k
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
YES
Oliver Habryka
Resolved
NO
Matt Levine
Resolved
NO
Daniel Abraham
Resolved
NO
Bruce Schneier
Resolved
NO
Rob Walling
Resolved
NO
Blake Scholl
Resolved
NO
Tarek Mansour
Resolved
NO
Dirk Didascalou
Resolved
NO
John Carmack
Resolved
NO
Will Wright
Resolved
NO
Vitalik Buterin
Resolved
NO
Balaji Srinivasan
Resolved
NO
Tyler Cowen
Resolved
NO
Paul Graham
Resolved
NO
Chris Dixon
Resolved
NO
Naval Ravikant
Resolved
NO
Ben Thompson
Resolved
NO
Tim Urban
Resolved
NO
Scott Alexander
Resolved
NO
Gwern Branwen

This resolves True for any person that wins up on a Complex Systems podcast episode released before Jan 1st, 2026. If they were already on Complex Systems before the date this market got made (January 3rd 2025) then they would resolve No unless they appear again. This market cares about the release dates for the episodes, not about the recording dates.

The initial names are drawn from a previous version of this market. You should add more if you have ideas! Patio11 is aware of Manifold so he might see your suggestion.

I plan to bet on this market, but resolution should be pretty objective!

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@creator Oliver Habryka resolves YES

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