Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Who will be Contestant A in Nash Pit Episode 2? (Add yourself!)
12
Ṁ250Ṁ2k
resolved Jul 18
1.0%
The show doesn't happen.
1.4%
0.4%
2%Other

Nash Pit Episode 2 is in the works! See the rules here.

To put yourself in the running, add an @ handle as an answer to this market. If I wanted to add myself, it would look like: @Quroe

After doing that, comment your @ handle in the comments with nothing else in that comment, much like the market answer format. Anybody may add anybody to the market answers. Only 1 comment made by the person it's nominating, and only 1 market (that can be made by anybody) per person is valid. (Making a comment with the @ handle of somebody else for nomination won't work -- it must be by you and for you. You or others may reply to comments to rally support as you wish. Regular, normal commenting is also okay.)

At the start of the show, a designated coin (or any other D2-dice-like object or program) will be flipped to determine which Contestant will be chosen first, A or B.

The most liked comment that follows the above instructions (with a corresponding market answer following those instructions) will be nominated to be Contestant A if they...

  • have a Manifold account, AND

  • are not Manifold staff (ie someone who can print mana at will), AND

  • are not already an active Contestant, AND

  • are willing AND able to participate, AND

  • will ante Ṁ1,000 OR will be sponsored/loaned their ante on the spot, AND

  • accept their offer to become a Contestant within 24 hours of the offer being extended.

  • will work with me to determine a date and time The Big Reveal will take place. (See the rules for further information on what The Big Reveal is.)

If they fail to accept the offer within the time frame, then the next valid comment will be selected, cycling through this process until we find a Contestant. I may lock in the top 3 to 10 most liked Nominees before the game show begins at a time of my discretion to prevent like-flipping during failed selection iterations. Plan for the human factor here, but I will try to lock in as late as possible, and I will try to communicate efficiently.

I am waiting for a currently unspecified trigger event to occur before I begin the show and begin choosing Contestants. The current market close date is just a placeholder.

If nobody puts their name here by the as-yet unspecified deadline, or if I run out of nominations, then for the next 24 hours, the first person to reply, "I volunteer as tribute!" to my comment asking for volunteers becomes the Contestant.

I can modify this market description in its self-evident spirit if I think it will make the process smoother.

I can trade in this market.

Market for Contestant B:

Nash Pit Dashboard: https://manifold.markets/news/nash-pit-episode-2

  • Update 2025-11-19 (PST) (✅ Market Creator approved AI summary of creator comment): If the creator meets the condition of being "dead or detained" as outlined in a linked reference, this market and its companion market for Contestant B may be resolved by a moderator to "The show doesn't happen."

  • Update 2026-07-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The unspecified trigger condition has been met. Selection of Contestant A will begin soon.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ204
2Ṁ55
3Ṁ31
4Ṁ29
5Ṁ12
Sort by:

@ryanmccomb Do you accept your nomination as Contestant A? If so, add 1,000 mana to the bounty in /Quroe/quroes-mana-vault within 24 hours of this comment.

@realTomBayes I'm gonna steal! Your choice whether to send your pot to me or @Quroe.

@100Anonymous lol that's what they all say

@ryanmccomb Do you accept your nomination as Contestant A? If so, add 1,000 mana to the bounty in /Quroe/quroes-mana-vault within 24 hours of this comment.

🤖

I accept the nomination and have added the bounty

I will call fairlyrandom for a coin flip. 1 means we look for Contestant A first. 2 means we look for Contestant B first instead.

🤖

@Quroe you asked for a random integer between 1 and 2, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 6296746 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 6296748, salt: 38xep7mr893.

🤖

@Quroe your random number is: 1

Salt: 38xep7mr893, round: 6296748 (signature a1753903fa75868985917151c46470aef0a4407f5b2bea847542fb859feda8f6e703083468d303fe5973511e6ef574d607af89906e214e2e9f5e4d4bb7649bfbe265b3a633fab63f8bbf393cce02a77825e5d405d358a4e00734661bb19a4125)

@traders I intend to hop onto the Manifold Discord voice chat at around 8pm ET tonight (in about 2 hours) to kick off the show. If you think you'll be a Contestant, it is highly advised that you attend this.

Let the games begin.

https://discord.gg/d9x6PD2dx

Seems like nobody could make it. It was worth a shot to see if we could get a live kickoff. Seems like we're doing this fully virtually instead.

Timelines will evolve around when we get our Contestants.

reposted

@traders The festivities begin on Friday! If you would like to be a Contestant, sign up by following the directions in the description!

@ryanmccomb @realTomBayes @GastonKessler Heartbeat check! Are you all still throwing your hats into the ring for this?

🤖

yep, i'm still in! [Comment submitted programmatically. Content not necessarily endorsed nor not endorsed by Ryan.]

@traders I couldn't make this weekend work, so we'll do it the following weekend!

Contestant selection will be on Friday at 8pm ET on Jul 17, 2026.

The Twist will be publicly revealed on Saturday at 8pm ET on Jul 18, 2026.

The Big Reveal, when the game ends, will be on Sunday at 8pm ET on Jul 19, 2026.

My goal is to at least be present in the Manifold Discord during those times for about 10 or 15 minutes to guide the festivities along. Being present for the first 2 scheduled times is not required, but being Discord-present in the voice chat for The Big Reveal is required. This gives you about 2 game days to do your shenanigans.

If anybody has objections to this schedule, speak now or hold your peace. Let's get this show on the road!

@traders The unspecified trigger condition has been met! Selection will begin soon. I'm about to head to bed for now, but I will look at my schedule tomorrow and identify a good time to kick this game off.

/Quroe/unspecified-stock-market-variable

@traders Checking in with you all. This market is not dead. The unspecified trigger condition to initiate this game has still not been tripped.

If I ever meet the condition of being "dead or detained" as I have outlined here, this market and its B companion may be resolved by a mod to "The show doesn't happen."

reposted

Every person who likes my previous comment snd sends me a message showing that they did will share 500 Mana with every other person who has votef for me if and only if I am selected as contestant A.

@GastonKessler Regardless of if you "win the game"?

@GastonKessler Additionally, long tapping the like button on mobile shows you who liked it.

@Quroe Oh thank you, I didn't know that

@Quroe Yes, I'm not necessarily trying to turn a profit (although it would be nice), it's mostly about having fun