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MANIFOLD
Who will be Contestant A at Manifest's 2026 Nash Pit? Add yourself!
4
แน€125แน€152
Dec 31
46%
Other
8%
The show doesn't happen.

I want to run another game show at Manifest. TL;DR: Add your name to the market, comment "I wish to participate!" to begin your campaign, rally for likes on that comment, and get on the show! [I'm still finalizing the rules and will post the rules and outcome markets soon. They should be very similar to last year's game, but I will streamline the rules to be less of an eyesore to read. I will delete this bracketed text soon.]


Add an @ handle as an answer to the market in the following format: @Quroe

Anybody may add anybody to the market. Comment "I wish to participate!" if you accept your nomination to be a Contestant. (I'll pin these comments.) Only 1 market per person is valid.

There will be 2 Contestants. At the start of the show, a coin will be flipped to determine which Contestant will be chosen first, A or B.

The most liked comment that follows the above instructions (with a corresponding market answer following those instructions) will be Contestant A if they are all of the following...

  • physically present at the show

  • have a Manifold account AND can prove their Manifold identity to me

  • are not Manifold staff

  • are not already an active OR a past Contestant

  • are willing AND able to participate

  • will ante แน€10,000 OR will be sponsored/loaned their ante on the spot.

If they are absent, then the next valid comment will be selected, cycling through this process until we find a Contestant. I may lock in the top-most liked Nominees before the selection begins at a time of my discretion to prevent like-flipping during failed selection iterations. Manifolders can submit their name to both the A and B markets, but they can only resolve YES on one of them. If there are no valid nominations, then I'll pick somebody out of the crowd.

I can trade in this market.

Market for Contestant B:

Nash Pit Dashboard

Market context
Get
แน€1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought แน€100 YES

I wish to participate!

bought แน€100 YES

I wish to participate!

What happens if the likes are clear alts?

@realTomBayes I can't easily police that. If that happens, the audience should boo that Contestant during the game and shame them.

@Quroe But I mean if I went on @JDVance1 and @ManiFed and @ManiFedTrading and @PeteHegseth and liked my comment above, would you count those likes?

@realTomBayes By the rules stated, yes. But you will be shamed in proportion to the transgression.