What will happen before I next physically see American flags at half-staff? [Add your own!]
3
210Ṁ137
resolved Oct 24
Resolved
YES
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_school_shootings_in_the_United_States_%282000%E2%80%93present%29?wprov=sfla1 has a new school shooting listed after September 10th, 2024. (resolves to 12:00am EST of listed date, not at page update)
Resolved
YES
2024 VP debate happens
Resolved
YES
The video game Forever Winter goes into Early Access
Resolved
YES
US Prez OR Acting Prez declares a state of emergency
Resolved
NO
Jimmy Carter dies
Resolved
NO
Dec 7, 2024 @ 12:00AM EST, Pearl Harbor Day
Resolved
NO
A US State Senator dies while in office. https://www.senate.gov/senators/SenatorsDiedinOffice.htm
Resolved
NO
Connecticut River Bridge collapses https://maps.app.goo.gl/jSH9GDJHTRry1Qs68
Resolved
NO
US government shutdown
Resolved
NO
Dec 25, 2024 @ 12:00AM EST, Christmas
Resolved
NO
Successful assassination of anybody nominated for the 2024 Presidential election
Resolved
NO
Trump sentenced to jail/prison at any level of jurisdiction
Resolved
NO
Reuters publishes an article stating something to the effect of World War III starting (in a way that would convince a reasonable person that history might remember this event as the start of it)
Resolved
NO
After market creation, JD Vance shaves his beard cleanly off. (Mustache ignored.)

All options resolve YES if they are observed before I personally see TWO different American flags being flown at half-staff on the same day and after market creation. All others, NO. If I do not have any trading activity for 2 consecutive months, mods can assume I'm dead and that I will never see another flag.

Permutations of the American flag like the thin-blue-line or pride flags don't count. It must be the most up-to-date, standard flag.

In case it matters, I live in Springfield MA, and I have an approximately 15-20 minute long drive to and from work on weekdays.

If somebody reminds me to go outside and touch grass to see if flags are at half-staff, and if the comment piques my interest, I'll try to oblige. Feel free to add your own options for Ṁ25. If they're ambiguous, I am the final judge.

I won't bet on this market.

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