Name a comedian you'd love to see join the cast of SNL. (Bilt Rent Free Oct 1, 2025 Q1)
12
500αΉ€801
resolved Oct 2
Resolved
YES
Shane Gillis
Resolved
YES
Kevin Hart
Resolved
YES
Matt Rife
Resolved
NO
Taylor Tomlinson
Resolved
NO
Jimmy Kimmel
Resolved
NO
Gianmarco Soresi
Resolved
NO
Bill Burr
Resolved
NO
Caleb Hearon
Resolved
NO
Dave Chapelle
Resolved
NO
Bo Burnham
Resolved
NO
Adam Sandler
Resolved
NO
John Mulaney

Bilt is a credit card company that has a monthly game show where they survey their users, then use those answers to run a game show. Top scorers in the game show get their next month's rent covered by Bilt.

The top 3 answers reported in the game show (not here) will resolve YES 100%, regardless of order. The rest resolve NO.

The results post at 4pm EST, Oct 1, 2025. I may trade in this market after 10 unique traders have traded or after 12:01am EST Oct 1, 2025, whichever happens first. I do not know the correct answers, but I was one of the surveyed users this month.

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So terribly sorry with the late resolution. Life got to me. Here are Q1's answers!

So terribly sorry with the late resolution. Life got to me. Here are Q1's answers!

reposted

Final call! I have it set to close 30 minutes before showtime to keep it purely predictive!

@Gen I see what you did on the sports one. Wanna fix the odds on this one too? I think it's still arbitragable, but I can't fix it yet due to my self imposed restriction on trading here.

bought αΉ€20 NO

@Quroe I don’t really know the best approach here for β€œfixing” the odds, but I did some vibes adjustments. Hard to know what US normies think about these comedians.

@Gen I just figured that you could easily take 300% Γ· 12 = 25% and level the board risk free from its 20% across-the-board state.

@Gen That works too!

@Gen You seem to be on calibration here.

For the record, I was surveyed after Jimmy Kimmel was suspended.

reposted

Free alpha if anybody wants it! Only 3 will resolve YES.

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