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MANIFOLD
Confess... the most unexpected hobby that you're obsessed with. (Bilt Rent Free Jun 1, 2026)
28
แน€300แน€1.2k
resolved Jun 1
Resolved
YES
Reading
Resolved
YES
Gardening
Resolved
YES
Pickleball
Resolved
NO
Golf
Resolved
NO
Chess
Resolved
NO
Gaming
Resolved
NO
Crochet
Resolved
NO
Legos
Resolved
NO
Coloring
Resolved
NO
Cleaning
Resolved
NO
Knitting
Resolved
NO
Puzzles

Bilt is a credit card company that has a monthly game show where they survey their users for their answers to various questions. Top scorers in the actual game get their next month's rent or mortgage payment covered by Bilt.

The top 3 answers reported on the actual game (not this prediction market) will resolve YES 100%, regardless of their order. The rest resolve NO.

The results post at 4pm ET, Jun 1, 2026. I was not one of the surveyed users this month. I do not know the correct answers, so I can trade on this market.

This is my referral link if you wish to sign up / apply and play the game yourself:

https://www.bilt.com/card?invite=QVCT7PCC

Click here for a dashboard of other Jun 1, 2026 Bilt Rent Free markets.

There will be no AI clarifications added to this market's description.

Market context
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แน€1,000
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๐Ÿ… Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
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2แน€50
3แน€50
4แน€30
5แน€24
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I think this is the first time I've been #1 on a market.

The results are in! (And, boy was I wrong!)

@Quroe looks like you should invite Madonna to Manifold so we can copy her trades XD

opened aแน€250 YES at 25% order

@Gen I'm scared to challenge your order here. There was enough hype around The Queen's Gambit that this might be a dark horse.

bought แน€8 YES

@Quroe even putting The Queen's Gambit aside, chess blew up massively during the pandemic

opened a แน€1 YES at 39% order

@Marnix I feel like it was because of TQG!

@Quroe i genuinely forgot it dropped mid-covid lmao

If anybody wants to schedule a game of chess on Chess.com with me sometime, I'm rusty, but I'm game.

opened a แน€80 YES at 37% order

@Gen Another battleground for you.

opened a แน€340 NO at 12% order

And I'll jam this one down too...

filled a แน€160 NO at 20% order

Surely Knitting and Crochet aren't both on the same top 3...

bought แน€10 YES

@Quroe Yeah lol that makes me feel like I'm silly for taking them, but I know so many people who are into it and it is by far the most 'unexpected'.

Like, why would golf be unexpected? I feel like most people who golf are golfers through family / from birth

opened a แน€40 NO at 17% order

Surely if their customer base was mostly renters, this is not in their top 3. Actually, after writing this comment up, I'll give you a little more volume.

opened a แน€29 YES at 34% order

I'm not terribly confident in this one, but I have a hunch.

opened a แน€140 NO at 9% order

Let's see if my read on the credit card and renting demographic is correct...

@Gen

Like, why would golf be unexpected?

My angle is that these answers are write ins. Availability bias is an extreme factor. How many people actually golf?

opened a แน€331 NO at 9% order

I'll go in somewhat confidently on this one.