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MANIFOLD
Will I buy a Manifold AGGC T-shirt before 2027?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ98
Dec 31
67%
chance

Will I buy a Manifold Anti Gambling Gambling Club T-shirt before the end of this year? Before 2026 ends and 2027 starts.


As of market creation, my mana balance is 1494. My mana net worth as of market creation is 4421.


The cost of an AGGC t-shirt is 5000 mana.

My favorite shop item is the AGGC shirt.
I do not intend to buy mana with real money. If I have enough mana, I would probably buy it.

Not sure how much shipping is since its not included in the 5k?

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Ṁ1,000
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My net worth is 4936. If I somehow manage to liquidate my assets, we're decently close! Haven't counted loan repayment though.
Do people think is better for me to take loans or nah
Balance is 1268.

@Qubits Net worth: Ṁ4,988
Balance: 1307

@Qubits Finally, a financial instrument with sleeves.

Odds looking better, thanks to people who helped below.

Per day, I can get: 36 + 7(assume I bet and lose one mana)

Per week, another 50

Per month, that's ~990 = (36+7)30 + 50*4 - 500


bought Ṁ10 YES

do you intend on having any mana left after you buy it?

@bobalobascrob I would like to have at least some mana. Definitely not 0.
Hopefully at least 25 or 100.

As I currently have not Enough Mana, chances are slimmer.
If I were to keep betting for the rest of the year to get the 5 day streaks, I would get about 2000 more mana, not counting losses.
2000 + 1494 is only 3494, I would have to liquidate or wait until my current bets finish.
I'm too lazy to calculate when my bets finish.

Also sorry about the tags, I do not recall adding them.

@Qubits get manifold plus

@bobalobascrob what's that?

@Qubits its like a subscription you can buy in the shop for mana, it will help you get there faster

@bobalobascrob Okay I bought it.

However I just realized that betting once per day doesn't cut it, that's only a gain of 375 compared to expensive for subscription of 500.

Hm, I guess I need to share markets? Not sure what/who.
Going to try and get referrals because I want mana.
Market creation shouldn't be too hard, I have several funny ideas.

@Qubits the jump from creation quest makes the difference. and then improved trader bonuses are the sweetness on top

@Stralor
So from my calculations if I were to max out streak and market creation, I would get and additional 200 from market creation, so 75 more per month.
Not counting trader bonuses or other stuff yet as I don't fully understand those.

@Qubits just click the third button here every day:

@bobalobascrob Just tried to do that, I do not have an X account though.

@Qubits You know what I'm really dumb and thought the X share button was the share button