Will the A press count for Super Mario 64's A Button Challenge be less than or equal to 12 on January 1, 2024?
21
154
400
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

The Super Mario 64 A Button Challenge asks the question: What is the minimum number of A presses required to beat Super Mario 64 with 100% completion?

For more info, read here: A Button Challenge - Ukikipedia

There are currently 15 remaining A presses for 100% completion. The source for this is actually somewhat tribal; the most recent reliable reference to this fact is at this timestamp of a video by Bismuth: https://youtu.be/guf4ZkekhGs

This market resolves YES if on January 1, 2024, at 12am, the consensus among Super Mario 64 A Button Challenge experts is that 12 or fewer A presses are currently required for 100% completion. Otherwise it resolves NO.

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predicted YES

It's 13

predicted YES

@ussgordoncaptain I'm not going to make that a necessary condition, but it is likely sufficient.

Will the A press count for Super Mario 64's A Button Challenge be less than or equal to 12 on January 1, 2024?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition