Will the SMB1 Any% (NTSC) world record go to 4:54.265 or lower by January 1, 2040? | Manifold

Will the SMB1 Any% (NTSC) world record go to 4:54.265 or lower by January 1, 2040?

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1k

2040

50%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

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Judged by https://www.speedrun.com/smb1

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Super Mario Bros.

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