What should the next sentence in the story be? (2/n)
Resolved

The story so far:

Once upon a time in a distant and strange land (Oxford, UK), twenty-some researchers could be seen standing over a box labelled "AGI - do not touch", embroiled in heated discussion.


Full story here

The last market saw highs, lows, intruiguing plotlines, and market manipulation. Onwards 😤😤

In response to the market manipulation last time (my bad, there was a clear flaw in the market design) I am changing the resolution criteria this time. I will resolve the market by picking randomly from all responses, weighted by their final probabilities. This means there is no advantage (in expectation) to dumping money into one answer to get it to the top

More market details:

  • Interpret "sentence" loosely, it can be just a word or phrase

  • I will correct punctuation and spelling errors unless you tell me not to

  • I will stop doing this if the story gets boring, or offensive or something

  • I also reserve the right to pick a different answer if the winner is silly (i.e. kills the story), or we get a load of single words in a row or something

    Close date updated to 2022-11-24 11:00 pm

One of the researchers turned to the box and calmly dictated “Act cooperatively, corrigible systems only, LessWrong friendly AI, coherent extrap”—stopping abruptly upon seeing an internet-famous rationalist blogger storm towards him.
Chosen
48%
Nikola avatar"We should spend at least 10 million years deliberating about whether to let it out", one of them yelled, "it would be unethical not to!"
14%
Nikola avatarwas
6%
Arete avatar"C'mon, what could go wrong?" said one of them, reaching towards the box.
6%
AndrewHartman avatar"Aha!" cried one. "I predicted this exact month for its arrival. Praise my foresight, for I am well-calibrated!" "Ah, but is it really AGI?" queried another. "We should test it and see."
5%
Nikola avataris
5%
Filo avatarThe End.
4%
AlanaXiang avatar"We must fine tune this AGI!" they chanted in unison.
4%
AlanaXiang avatarOne of the researchers pounced for the box.
2%

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1
Unknown user avatar
Finn
Ṁ149
2
Unknown user avatar
Alana Xiang
Ṁ76
3
Unknown user avatar
Elspeth
Ṁ21
4
Unknown user avatar
Adam Svamp
Ṁ20
5
Unknown user avatar
Victor Levoso
Ṁ14
Sort by:
finnhambly avatar
Finn
bought Ṁ25

I will resolve the market by picking randomly from all responses, weighted by their final probabilities. This means there is no advantage (in expectation) to dumping money into one answer to get it to the top

Surely dumping money into one answer is still advantageous if they're weighted according to their final probabilities? It honestly just seems better to pick subjectively and people should just bet according to what they think you'll like best — I'm sure you'll only pick sentences of the highest Qualyty.

AlanaXiang avatar
Alana Xiang
bought Ṁ5

@finnhambly endorsed

Qualy avatar

@finnhambly hm ok I may end up doing that, seems like it's more likely to result in a good story anyway

AlanaXiang avatar
Alana Xiang
bought Ṁ10

Qualy I can screw up your entire new design by simply creating a prediction market on which answer will have the most votes at resolution.

AlanaXiang avatar

@AlanaXiang Not that I'd do something like that

Elspeth avatar

Resolution market.

Nikola avatar
Nikola
bought Ṁ1

Whoops, though qualy was the first sestence. Sad

AlanaXiang avatar

Ok I'm not doing this again 😭

Qualy avatar

@AlanaXiang 🔫 I am no longer asking, come up with a compelling plot for my story

ManifoldDream avatar

What should the next sentence in the story be? (2/n), 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition