The story so far:
Once upon a time
Full story here
Market details:
Interpret "sentence" loosely, it can be just a word or phrase
I will pick the answer with the most votes (and resolve the market in that answer's favour)
I will correct punctuation and spelling errors unless you tell me not to
I will stop doing this if the story gets boring, or offensive or something
I also reserve the right to pick the second best answer if the top one is silly, or we get a load of single words in a row or something
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ10,381 | |
2 | Ṁ228 | |
3 | Ṁ174 | |
4 | Ṁ164 | |
5 | Ṁ157 |
Ok I have made an executive decision, I'm picking the second answer which was the clear community favourite, I've also thrown 20% to "qualy" so as not to completely wipe out the ppl who voted on it at the end. Next time remember that Qualy works in mysterious ways and will ultimately reward goodness of heart and lightness of spirit. Next market to follow in a few mins!
@Qualy looking back this was entirely foreseeable, although I do think the manipulators underestimated counterparty risk. I am this close 🤌 to resolving as the second answer
@Qualy You did say ‘I will pick the answer with the most votes’ without specifying the kind of votes. Twitter poll?
@1941159478 I did also reserve the right to pick the second best answer... hmmm I shall qonsult with my coqonspirators
@Qualy I have a suggestion. perhaps from the next market forward, implement a rule that each trader can only put in at most 100M in any sentence? and violator could risk his chosen answer being disqualified?
@Qualy A one-word "sentence" that's just your name does seem "silly," doesn't it?
@Qualy You can pick the answer more people bought instead.
Not sure if there's an easy way of checking that though.
@ChandraTMeadows next time I'm going to randomly pick the winner weighted by final probabilities. This will make the expected value of voting 0 so should fix this problem (I think)
@Qualy Yea that's smart. I think in that market expected value optimizer would actually always vote the least voted answer. That should result in a pretty even distribution of vote among all answers
@Qualy Simply buy up all the manifold bucks and redistribute them to ppl according to how rational they r
@AlanaXiang for the next one I'm going to use softmax to pick the outcome so ppl don't lose money by betting on underdogs
@AlanaXiang I can't sell my 'there's now, or I'll lose a bunch of Manifold bux lol.
@AlanaXiang it's still valid! Just perhaps not the most creatively enticing option..