What should the next sentence in the story be? (1/n)
Resolved
MANY

The story so far:

Once upon a time

Full story here

Market details:

  • Interpret "sentence" loosely, it can be just a word or phrase

  • I will pick the answer with the most votes (and resolve the market in that answer's favour)

  • I will correct punctuation and spelling errors unless you tell me not to

  • I will stop doing this if the story gets boring, or offensive or something

  • I also reserve the right to pick the second best answer if the top one is silly, or we get a load of single words in a row or something

in a distant and strange land (Oxford, UK), twenty-some researchers could be seen standing over a box labelled "AGI - do not touch", embroiled in heated discussion.
Chosen 80%
14%
qualy
Chosen 20%
79%
pop avatarA young man with an iron deficiency and a passion for Quentin Tarantino films left his home in search of an ideal romantic and sexual partner.
6%

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ10,381
2Ṁ228
3Ṁ174
4Ṁ164
5Ṁ157
Sort by:
Qualy avatar

Ok I have made an executive decision, I'm picking the second answer which was the clear community favourite, I've also thrown 20% to "qualy" so as not to completely wipe out the ppl who voted on it at the end. Next time remember that Qualy works in mysterious ways and will ultimately reward goodness of heart and lightness of spirit. Next market to follow in a few mins!

Qualy avatar

Alright there was some last minute market manipulation 😤. I am honour bound to resolve in favour of the winning answer but I'll have my eye on you all next time

Qualy avatar

@Qualy looking back this was entirely foreseeable, although I do think the manipulators underestimated counterparty risk. I am this close 🤌 to resolving as the second answer

Alana avatar
Alana
bought Ṁ90

@Qualy You say manipulators but it was literally one whale

Alana avatar

@AlanaXiang I had to switch positions or I was screwed :(

1941159478 avatar

@Qualy You did say ‘I will pick the answer with the most votes’ without specifying the kind of votes. Twitter poll?

Qualy avatar

@1941159478 I did also reserve the right to pick the second best answer... hmmm I shall qonsult with my coqonspirators

ChandraTMeadows avatar

@Qualy I have a suggestion. perhaps from the next market forward, implement a rule that each trader can only put in at most 100M in any sentence? and violator could risk his chosen answer being disqualified?

whenhaveiever avatar
Cornelius Grass
bought Ṁ20

@Qualy A one-word "sentence" that's just your name does seem "silly," doesn't it?

VictorLevoso avatar

@Qualy You can pick the answer more people bought instead.

Not sure if there's an easy way of checking that though.

Qualy avatar

@ChandraTMeadows next time I'm going to randomly pick the winner weighted by final probabilities. This will make the expected value of voting 0 so should fix this problem (I think)

ChandraTMeadows avatar

@Qualy Yea that's smart. I think in that market expected value optimizer would actually always vote the least voted answer. That should result in a pretty even distribution of vote among all answers

Alana avatar

@Qualy Simply buy up all the manifold bucks and redistribute them to ppl according to how rational they r

Qualy avatar

this is currently the market with the highest 24h volume lmao

Alana avatar

@Qualy I’ve lost so much money on this market I’m crying

Alana avatar

@AlanaXiang Omg guys… <3

This is the most effective altruism ever

Qualy avatar

@AlanaXiang u know it queen

Qualy avatar

@AlanaXiang for the next one I'm going to use softmax to pick the outcome so ppl don't lose money by betting on underdogs

Alana avatar

@Qualy Yay

Alana avatar
Alana
sold Ṁ9

Help I'm getting market manipulation

mlsbft avatar
Martin
bought Ṁ13

I beg you people to be just slightly original

Elspeth avatar

In case anyone wants to bet on the resolution of this market.

Qualy avatar
finnhambly avatar
Finn
bought Ṁ5

Oh wow I totally read 'next word' not 'next sentence' haha

Alana avatar
Alana
bought Ṁ10
Alana avatar
Alana
sold Ṁ10

@AlanaXiang I can't sell my 'there's now, or I'll lose a bunch of Manifold bux lol.

finnhambly avatar
Finn
bought Ṁ10

@AlanaXiang it's still valid! Just perhaps not the most creatively enticing option..

Alana avatar
Alana
bought Ṁ35

@finnhambly RIP my manibucks

finnhambly avatar
Finn
bought Ṁ10

@AlanaXiang u got dis

Alana avatar
Alana
bought Ṁ10

Idk why I decided to buy so many there’s

finnhambly avatar
Finn
bought Ṁ4

@AlanaXiang it's a good word

Alana avatar
Alana
sold Ṁ118

@finnhambly Gotta pump there-coin

ManifoldDream avatar

What should the next sentence in the story be? (1/n), 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition