Will Ukraine win its war with Russia before 2024?6%
Will any country announce a commitment of F-16 fighter jet to Ukraine before July?91%
Will the Ukrainian airforce have Eurofighters (or equivalent/better) before July 2023?10%
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by the end of Jan 2024?86%
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end by 2024?14%
Will Ukraine receive non-Russian fighter jets (Oct 2024 limit)75%
Will the Ukrainian army launch a large scale counter-offense before June 2023?2%
Will Russia declare war on Ukraine in 2023?9%
Will Russia field Chinese main battle tanks in Ukraine before 2025?30%
Will Israel provide the Iron Dome missile defence system to Ukraine before 2024?14%
Will Russia detonate a nuclear bomb in Ukraine by 2024?4%
Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024?4%
Will Ukraine send any weapons to Taiwan by 2028?27%
Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024?6%
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2024?25%
Will Russian military personnel invade Ukraine from Belarus in 2023?22%
Will Kyiv fall before 2024?3%
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of Jun 2023?2%
Will the Ukraine war be over by the end of 2023?10%
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by the end of Oct 2023?57%
