OpenAI says it was announced at WWDC, for what it’s worth

i got my face ripped off trying to trade this market while watching. i've now bet the farm on "no" because none of that was close to a "partnership announcement" during the main keynote.

https://x.com/sama/status/1800237314360127905

@gramophone But it does have to be during the keynote, rather than on Twitter:

Resolves positively if Apple announces a partnership with OpenAI on the main keynote of WWDC 2024.

@gramophone resolution is specific to main keynote

@BobSnodgrass Yeah, but this isn’t Sam altman announcing a partnership, he’s referring to the already announced partnership in the keynote

i don't think they keynote included a partnership announcement - what part specifically met the criteria? mentioning chatgpt / showing chatgpt being used doesn't meet the threshold for this market's resolution.

@ChrisPrichard I think everyone can agree the partnership was announced during the keynote, even if the word din't appear.

If someone makes a speech saying "we're having a child!" then it is correct to say "they announced they are having a baby" even if the word "baby" did not appear in the initial statement.

@gramophone yeah but this is more akin to if we were betting on if a couple would announce their engagement and they said "we have now decided to cohabitate"

@BobSnodgrass
apple guy on call: so what we're doing is this team-up with openai blah blah blah
apple PR: Apple Announces Partnership with OpenAI
bob: they never announced a partnership!

@gramophone about siri? where?

@Bayesian it's integrated into Siri, although this market is not about Siri.

nevermind, wrong market hahaha

@gramophone more like:

gramophone: "i'll bet you that this says it's a partnership on this call before the end"
bob: "i bet he doesn't call it a partnership but instead just show some product capabilities, which doesn't count"
call: "we can do some cool stuff together"
gramophone: "well he meant to say partnership, because later after the call they called it a partnership"

Might be worth pausing / closing the market before resolution - it's all about "does this count", rather than any details of the keynote.

This market was at 99% a couple hours ago. Do predictions markets still work, y'all?

@benshindel looks like it worked fine, except for the half hour around 25% when some went in denial.

Apple Intelligence is Right On Time – Stratechery by Ben Thompson

"The company’s new AI system will be called Apple Intelligence, and it will come to new versions of the iPhone, iPad and Mac operating systems, according to people familiar with the plans. There also will be a partnership with OpenAI that powers a ChatGPT-like chatbot."

I highly doubt that if apple were to get into ai they would use openai to do that rather then use a solution by someone else or even develop their own model

@megacoolness Then NO shares must look pretty cheap. Why not buy some more?

@HankyUSA working off more short term investments and also i just discovered this so like right now i dont have much to put on it but in the coming months i will be dumping more into this ideally i will have at least a thousand in once i have some more mana freed up to spend

anyways i bet some more by selling part of one of my investments that is a injoke

@megacoolness this resolves next week

@deagol i had no idea wwdc is that close lol i might definitely sell some other investments and put it on this i got confused with the dates with the iphone events you can use this to discredit me but idc i will get the last laugh here

@megacoolness didn't mean to discredit you, at all. Just thought you might be confused and wanted to clarify. Good luck!

@deagol oh thanks then but yeah i just feel apple is far too stubborn to use another companies ai like this is the company that switched from intel and uses their own os on their own hardware lol

@megacoolness anyways i sold anything worth selling now so lets see who wins here

@megacoolness just as a heads up, you shouldn't buy NO here below the price in the other, more specific market linked in description: /Predict/will-apple-announce-a-partnership-w-db8a0fd6ca2f

If the price there is higher than here you can make more mana (or rather Prize Points) by buying the NOs there.

@deagol thank you