Will the UK experience at least one named storm in August 2026?
2
100Ṁ32Aug 31
46%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Description
This market resolves YES if the Met Office officially names one or more storms affecting the UK during August 2026. It resolves NO if no storms are named in that month.
Resolution criteria
Storm naming must come from the UK Met Office storm naming list
The storm must be named between 1 August 2026 00:00 UTC and 31 August 2026 23:59 UTC
It must be named due to impact or forecasted impact on the UK
Atlantic, ex-tropical, or hybrid systems count if officially named
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
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