What vote shares will the parties get in the Makerfield by election?
7
Ṁ1kṀ1.6kDec 31
40%
Labour
4%
Conservative
5%
Liberal Democrats
5%
Green
35%
Reform UK
7%
Restore Britain
1.4%
English Democrat
2%
There is likely to be a by election for the constituency of Makerfield later this year, possibly on 18 June. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Makerfield_by-election
Each party resolves to the vote share its candidate gets in the election.
I have added the parties that fought in the general election in 2024, plus Restore Britain who have said they will field a candidate. Feel free to add parties who say they will contest the election. If there is no Makerfield by election in 2026, resolves to N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Restore Britain win the Makerfield by-election
8% chance
Which party will win the Makerfield by-election?
Will Andy Burnham be the Labour candidate for the Makerfield by-election?
98% chance
If Andy Burnham loses the Makerfield by election, will be contest another by election before 2029?
28% chance
If Andy Burnham is the candidate for the Makerfield by-election, will he win?
58% chance
If Andy Burnham loses the makerfield by election, will he….?
Will Andy Burnham win a majority of the vote in the Makerfield byelection?
25% chance
Restore Britain ≥4% in Makerfield by-election?
75% chance
Which party will get third in the Makerfield by-election?