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MANIFOLD
What vote shares will the parties get in the Makerfield by election?
14
Ṁ1.8kṀ13k
resolved Jun 19
55%54%
Labour (Andy Burnham)
35%34%
Reform UK (Robert Kenyon)
7%6%
Restore Britain (Rebecca Shepherd)
2%2%
Conservative (Michael Winstanley)
1%0.7%
Green (Sarah Wakefield)
0.2%
Liberal Democrats (Jake Austin)
0.1%
English Democrat
0.2%
Official Monster Raving Loony (Alan Hope)
0.3%
Libertarian (Dan Clarke)
0.3%
John Dyer (independent)
0.3%
Climate Party (Ed Gemmell)
0.4%
Count Binface Party (Count Binface)
0.4%
Paul Gould (independent)
0.4%
Robert Pownall (independent)
0.4%
Rejoin EU (Peter Ward)
0.4%Other

There will be a by election for the constituency of Makerfield later this year, probably on 18 June. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Makerfield_by-election

Each party resolves to the vote share its candidate gets in the election.

I have added the parties that fought in the general election in 2024, plus Restore Britain and the Official Monster Raving Loony Party, who have both said they will field a candidate. Feel free to add parties who say they will contest the election. If there is no Makerfield by election in 2026, resolves to N/A.

  • Update 2026-05-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): English Democrats are not standing a candidate and will resolve at 0%.

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@PontiMin The English Democrats are not standing a candidate so they resolve at 0.