Resolution criteria

• Resolves YES if, by 23:59 on September 30, 2025 Israel time (IDT/UTC+3), credible reporting attributes a kinetic military attack by the State of Qatar’s armed forces (or other Qatari state-controlled military units) against Israeli territory, Israeli territorial waters/airspace, or Israel Defense Forces (IDF)/Israeli government assets or personnel (including in international airspace/waters). “Kinetic” includes missiles/rockets, drones, aircraft, naval fire, artillery, or direct gunfire; attempted attacks that are intercepted still count if clearly attributed. Confirmation must come from either: (a) an official statement by the IDF or Government of Qatar (QNA/IMO/MoD), or (b) at least two reputable international outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP, AFP, BBC). Links for verification: IDF updates, QNA, Qatar IMO, Reuters, AP, BBC. (idf.il, qna.org.qa, imo.gov.qa, reuters.com, apnews.com, bbc.com)

• Resolves NO if no such qualifying, attributed kinetic attack is reported by the deadline.

• Excludes: actions by non-Qatari actors (e.g., Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthis, Iran), cyber operations or jamming without public Qatari state attribution, diplomatic/economic measures, rhetoric, and incidents not credibly attributed to Qatar’s military. Strikes by Israel inside Qatar are irrelevant to resolution.

Background

• Qatar has hosted U.S. forces at Al Udeid Air Base and recently deepened defense ties; it fields modern air and air-defense systems. (reuters.com, businessinsider.com)

• Doha has acted as a mediator in the Israel–Hamas conflict; Hamas’ political bureau presence in Qatar shifted in late 2024, though the office was not declared permanently closed. (bbc.com, bbc.co.uk)

• On September 9, 2025, Israel reportedly struck Hamas targets in Doha; this does not imply Qatari attacks on Israel but informs escalation risk. (apnews.com, reuters.com, washingtonpost.com)

Considerations

• Any proxy or third-party attack does not count unless major outlets or official statements explicitly identify Qatar’s state military as the attacker. (apnews.com)

• Attribution standards matter: this will wait for clear, on-the-record attribution (e.g., IDF communiqués or Qatari government statements) or concordant reports from two top-tier outlets. Check: IDF updates; QNA/IMO; Reuters/AP/BBC. (idf.il, qna.org.qa, imo.gov.qa, reuters.com, apnews.com, bbc.com)