Resolution Criteria
This market resolves to YES if Israel officially accepts Egypt's Gaza ceasefire restoration proposal on or before April 15, 2025. It resolves to NO if Israel rejects the proposal or fails to accept it by the deadline.
Background
Egypt has proposed a ceasefire restoration plan for the Gaza conflict that includes:
The Egyptian plan calls for Hamas to release five Israeli hostages each week
with Israel implementing the 2nd phase of the ceasefire after the first week
As of March 24, 2025, Hamas has reportedly responded positively to the Egyptian proposal, but Israel claims it has not received the formal terms of the proposal. Israel continues to push for its own conditions, including the release of more hostages.
Considerations
The situation remains fluid, with multiple diplomatic channels active simultaneously. Israel's decision may be influenced by developments on the ground, international pressure, and internal political considerations.
1,000