Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) falls below $75,000 USD at any point between October 25, 2025, and April 25, 2026, inclusive. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the daily closing price of BTC/USD as reported on CoinMarketCap.

Background

Bitcoin reached an all-time high price of over $126,270 on October 6, 2025. As of October 25, 2025, Bitcoin's price is trading around $108,000 - $111,000 USD.