Will Team NO take the lead in "The Market" today?
14
270Ṁ5236
resolved Mar 31
Resolved
NO

"The Market":

This market resolves YES if the average of "The Market" goes below 50% before midnight ET, and NO otherwise.

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Everything looked on track for this market to resolve YES, but then someone threw a Spindle in the works.

AS OF RIGHT NOW SPINDLE IS SWINDL(ing your money but i had to make it rhyme)

@pancakes beat me to it

predictedNO

@JosephNoonan still a bit more to be had, no?

As of right now, the current average is 51.3%, the current value is 29.5%, and it has to average at under 30.9% for this to resolve YES.

predictedYES

@Gabrielle The average is now 50.6%, so it now needs to average under 35.5%

If this market gets big, I'll make it fun. At its current size though, not worth the effort.

@IsaacKing Hm, that could either mean you have a plan to bet big in this market and then get more aggressive in "The Market" to make NO take the lead faster, or it could be the exact opposite, and mean that you would buy lots of NO in this market and then sell a bunch of shares in "The Market" to prevent NO from taking the lead too early.

@JosephNoonan Those are the two options, yep. :)

@IsaacKing is 20k big enough

predictedNO

@cece Probably

Not sure of the exact number, but I think it would have to average well below 30 percent for the rest of the day for this to resolve "yes"

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