Will Team NO take the lead in "The Market" today?
14
11
270
resolved Mar 31
Resolved
NO

"The Market":

This market resolves YES if the average of "The Market" goes below 50% before midnight ET, and NO otherwise.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ200 of NO

Everything looked on track for this market to resolve YES, but then someone threw a Spindle in the works.

bought Ṁ100 of NO

AS OF RIGHT NOW SPINDLE IS SWINDL(ing your money but i had to make it rhyme)

@pancakes beat me to it

predicted NO

@JosephNoonan still a bit more to be had, no?

bought Ṁ300 of YES

As of right now, the current average is 51.3%, the current value is 29.5%, and it has to average at under 30.9% for this to resolve YES.

predicted YES

@Gabrielle The average is now 50.6%, so it now needs to average under 35.5%

If this market gets big, I'll make it fun. At its current size though, not worth the effort.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

@IsaacKing Hm, that could either mean you have a plan to bet big in this market and then get more aggressive in "The Market" to make NO take the lead faster, or it could be the exact opposite, and mean that you would buy lots of NO in this market and then sell a bunch of shares in "The Market" to prevent NO from taking the lead too early.

@JosephNoonan Those are the two options, yep. :)

@IsaacKing is 20k big enough

predicted NO

@cece Probably

bought Ṁ5 of YES

Not sure of the exact number, but I think it would have to average well below 30 percent for the rest of the day for this to resolve "yes"