Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez win reelection in 2024?
Basic
2
Ṁ2Jan 1
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
She was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in Washington's 3rd district in 2022. This was the biggest upset according to FiveThirtyEight's model, which only gave her a 2% chance of winning on election day (I believe this was actually the biggest election day upset in 538 history). Will she be reelected in 2024?
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