Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez win reelection in 2024?
2
21
Ṁ2Ṁ70
2025
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
She was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in Washington's 3rd district in 2022. This was the biggest upset according to FiveThirtyEight's model, which only gave her a 2% chance of winning on election day (I believe this was actually the biggest election day upset in 538 history). Will she be reelected in 2024?
Get Ṁ200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will Mary Peltola be reelected in 2024?
65% chance
Will the candidate who wins Minnesota win the 2024 POTUS election?
62% chance
Will Morena win Mexico's 2024 election by a margin of more than 10%?
72% chance
Will Paulette Guajardo be re-elected mayor of Corpus Christi, Texas in 2024?
51% chance
Will Kate Gallego be re-elected mayor of Phoenix, Arizona in 2024?
57% chance
Will Kyrsten Sinema win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in Arizona?
2% chance
Will Kirsten Gillibrand win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in New York?
84% chance
Will Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert of Colorado win her election in 2024?
49% chance
Will Marjorie Taylor Green be re-elected in November 2024.
88% chance
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene run for President in 2024?
2% chance