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Only 7.9% said Yes.

https://plasmabloggin.substack.com/p/survey-results-pt-2-manifold-on-manifold

Survey Results Pt. 2: Manifold on Manifold

In my last post, I went over the results to the first two sections of my Manifold survey. This post will cover Section 3, which was about people’s opinions on Manifold itself. Who should be Trustworthy.ish? The first question on this section was, “Which of these Manifold users do you think should be Trustworthy.ish? (Currently, none of them are yet).” That actually turned out to be not quite true by the end of the survey, though, because Pat Scott, me, and jskf all became Trustworthy.ish shortly before the survey concluded.

25% seems hard to hit given some plausible combinations of short user tenures, long-running markets, and small average of markets created per user: using myself as an example, I joined at the start of the year but have only created 2 markets, neither of which will resolve until end of year.

@ML You're probably right. When I created this market, I didn't know how many people would fill out the survey, but the more people fill it out, the smaller the expected proportion of people who have misresolved a market will be. I think that the people who were the first to fill it out (or at least the most likely to) were probably a lot of the long-time power users, who are more likely to have misresolved a market at least once. But now that tons of people have responded, the responses will be mostly from newer users and people who don't create many markets.

The survey is officially out! You can take it here: https://forms.gle/xZqWVxuY5irgLigu9