What fraction of markets are resolved incorrectly? Show your work.
Ṁ400 / 600
bounty left
500 mana for the best answer in 48 hours.
I'm looking for an analysis of resolved markets to determine the frequency that markets are incorrectly resolved.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
For what it's worth by my count I've bet on 132 now resolved markets, and the only one that I thought was misresolved was this one https://manifold.markets/KenK/will-devin-booker-me-the-nba-league. Probably not much you can do with this info but I realized that after I finished counting so I'm posting it anyway