Will any 2024 U.S. Senate election be won without the majority of the vote?
8
78
Ṁ145Ṁ190
Dec 1
83%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will any candidate win their Senate election without winning a majority of the vote? This can occur in first-past-the-post elections if a candidate has the plurality but not the majority (e.g., 49% vote for a Democrat, 48% for a Republican, 3% other means thst a Democrat wins with less than 50%). In elections that use ranked choice voting or some other non-plurality-based system, this will be based on how many first-place votes they win.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?
52% chance
Will any state be decided by <0.5% in the 2024 election?
73% chance
Will the Democratic candidate win the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election?
68% chance
Will the Democrats win the 2024 US Presidential election?
52% chance
Will the winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election also win the popular vote?
70% chance
Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
Will the US 2024 presidential election go the way of the popular vote?
76% chance
Will the winner of Florida in the 2024 POTUS election win with a majority in the state?
63% chance
Will Republicans take the majority in the US Senate in 2024?
79% chance