On my Manifold survey, I asked a whether users liked or disliked 15 different market types, and I made a market about which one would be the most disliked: /JosephNoonan/what-type-of-market-is-the-most-con
That one asks which type has the most net dislikes, but which type has the most net likes? As a clue, I can say that it has the most net likes by an overwhelming margin.
I already know the answer, so I won't bet. This market will resolve once I release the results of Section 3 of the survey.
The markets now simultaneously give whalebait the highest probability of being the most liked and the most disliked. It's technically possible to have a probability distribution that allows this if the variance of people's expectations is highest for whalebait, but I don't see any reason why this would be the case.
@JosephNoonan It makes perfect sense. The people that win love whalebaits; the people that lose quit the site or ask for them to be banned.