Which "controversial" market type is the most liked?
Basic
12
Ṁ274
resolved Oct 10
100%10%
Personal
3%
Self-resolving
13%
Whalebait
1.9%
Subjective
34%
Meme/joke
3%
Death
1.9%
AI wiping out humanity
7%
Parodies of AI wiping out humanity
3%
Rationalussy
5%
Poll
1.8%
Stock
1.9%
Far future
1.9%
Long-odds
1.8%
Daily
9%
"Completely legal Ponzi schemes"

On my Manifold survey, I asked a whether users liked or disliked 15 different market types, and I made a market about which one would be the most disliked: /JosephNoonan/what-type-of-market-is-the-most-con

That one asks which type has the most net dislikes, but which type has the most net likes? As a clue, I can say that it has the most net likes by an overwhelming margin.

I already know the answer, so I won't bet. This market will resolve once I release the results of Section 3 of the survey.

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Ṁ1,000
and
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Someone could write a script to count how many likes markets have and see which category comes up with the most likes as an extension to this market.

called it!

The markets now simultaneously give whalebait the highest probability of being the most liked and the most disliked. It's technically possible to have a probability distribution that allows this if the variance of people's expectations is highest for whalebait, but I don't see any reason why this would be the case.

@JosephNoonan It makes perfect sense. The people that win love whalebaits; the people that lose quit the site or ask for them to be banned.

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