On my Manifold survey, I will include a question asking whether the respondent likes or dislikes certain types of markets (or is neutral about them). This market resolves to the type that gets the most net dislikes (dislikes minus likes).

The types of markets described here have a lot of overlap between them, which will be mentioned on the survey to avoid confusing respondents. The survey will also tell respondents not to answer for market types that they haven't encountered before and will provide the following definitions of each type:

• Self-resolving: Markets that resolve based on some characteristic of the market itself, like the average percentage or the number of traders

• Whalebait: Markets that encourage large bets because a user with lots of mana can more easily influence their resolution

• Personal: Markets that resolve according to some aspect/event in the creator's personal life

• Subjective: Markets that resolve based on the creator's opinion on something

• Meme/joke: Markets that were made for a meme or joke rather than serious predictions

• Death: Markets about whether a given person will die by a certain date

• AI wiping out humanity: Markets about whether AI will wipe out humanity

• Parodies of AI wiping out humanity: Silly variations of AI wiping out humanity, like "Will AI wipe out AI?" or "Will AI out-wipe humanity?"

• Rationalussy: Markets about the made-up word "rationalussy"

• Poll: Markets that use a poll to determine the resolution

• Stock: Markets that never resolve and are meant to reflect how much people like or dislike the subject

• Far future: Markets that won't resolve until a very distant time

• Long odds: Markets on things that basically certain to happen or not to happen, and for which everyone agrees that this is the case

• Daily: Series of markets that are about the exact same commonplace occurrence, but shifted back by a short period of time, e.g., a series of markets asking "Will Stock X be above price Y on date Z?", where there is a new market for every day.

• "Completely legal Ponzi schemes": Bountied questions where the first people to add to the bounty get mana from people who add to the bounty later, but are completely open about being Ponzi schemes

I might change these definitions slightly based on feedback from the comments if you think some of the definitions aren't clear/accurate enough. I might also change the names of some of the categories if the current name isn't clear enough, but nothing that would change the meaning of the category.

See Plasma's Manifold Survey for other questions about the survey.

The survey is officially out! You can take it here: https://forms.gle/xZqWVxuY5irgLigu9