What will be the margin in the 2024 Maryland Senate race?
Basic
16
Ṁ766
Nov 12
8%
Republican victory
21%
D+0 - D+5
25%
D+5 - D+10
32%
D+10 - D+15
9%
D+15 - D+25
4%
D+25 - D+100
1.4%
Other

The margin is the percentage of votes won by the winning candidate minus the percentage won by second place. The letter D refers to a Democratic victory. If there for some reason ends up being a special election, this refers only to the regularly scheduled election.

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Other

There's no way this resolves to Other, right?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 It would resolve Other if neither a Republican nor a Democrat won.

bought Ṁ1 D+15 - D+25 YES

People should be careful when trying to make this look like the graph of a Gaussian distribution. I made some of the intervals wider than others.

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