
What will be the closest state in the 2024 election?
15
760Ṁ638resolved Nov 16
100%98.8%
Wisconsin
0.2%
Georgia
0.1%
Arizona
0.4%
Pennsylvania
0.3%
Michigan
0.1%
North Carolina
0.1%
Nevada
0.0%
Florida
0.0%
Texas
0.0%
Minnesota
0.0%
New Hampshire
0.0%
Ohio
0.0%
Iowa
0.0%
Maine
0.0%
Any other state
Which state will have the smallest margin of victory, defined as the difference in percentage of votes between the first and second place candidate?
This is only about the states, so Congressional districts with their own electoral votes don't count, even if they are closer than any state.
I included all states where the margin was <10% in 2020 as options. If none of those states are the closest in 2024, this will resolve to "any other state".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ58 | |
2 | Ṁ26 | |
3 | Ṁ25 | |
4 | Ṁ5 | |
5 | Ṁ3 |