Will NYT publish The Needle with a live national forecast on November 5?
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1kṀ14kresolved Nov 6
Resolved
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The iconic/infamous Needle was first introduced in the 2016 election night coverage with a live forecast of the presidential winner. In 2020 it returned with the live forecast of 3 swing states but not the national electoral winner.
In what form will it return this November? I will resolve Yes if The Needle returns AND shows a live probability estimate of the presidential winner during ballot counting on November 5.
2016 Needle
2020 Needle
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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