Bob Woodward wrote in his new book that Trump spoke with Putin "as many as seven times" since leaving office citing a source who is allegedly a personal aide. Other media outlets have not been able to confirm the story so far.
While other journalists were not able to confirm the post-White House contacts on Tuesday, the report roiled the presidential campaign and set Washington buzzing.
...
Nineteen current and former Trump and Biden administration officials and career intelligence officials reached by The Times on Tuesday said they had no knowledge of any contacts between Mr. Trump and Mr. Putin in the years since Mr. Trump left office, although several said it was not inconceivable.
...
Some of his [Woodward's] most sensational stories over the years, often attributed to anonymous sources, have drawn denials by the people cited in them and some fellow journalists have questioned his methods. At the same time, many of his most memorable scoops over the years have been borne out in large part by later reporting or memoirs.
In addition, Trump and Russia have both denied the report.
I will resolve it to yes if any reputable outlet such as NYT, AP, WSJ, Politico, or Reuters (not exhaustive) confirms that Trump and Putin spoke at least two times by citing independent sources or Trump's own statements. If the story remains unconfirmed on December 31, I will resolve N/A.
1,000People are also trading
@traders I'm going to N/A this market. Commenter above raised a good point regarding what would make this market resolve No. The original criteria states that if additional reporting confirms the story it resolves Yes, but not what may make the market resolve No. It's difficult for the story to be convincingly falsified, therefore the Yes side is easily favored making the market miscalibrated for the question if the likely options would just be Yes or N/A.
@PlainBG Could re-create with similar title/criteria to https://manifold.markets/KevinBurke/are-donald-trump-sr-and-laura-loome