During Eurovision 2023 there was a huge difference in jury scores with clear jury favourite - Sweden and public votes where majority of points went to Finland. In the end Sweden won and that made a lot of viewers feel that jury has way too big impact on the final score. Moreover European Broadcasting Union already changed the rules in 2023 and removed jury vote from the semifinals.
Therefore it does not seem unlikely that the rules for 2024 would be changed by EBU. At the same time Eurovision already experimented with having only televoting, and that lead to drop in professional quality of the songs. In the end jury was reintroduced in 2009.
So the question in this market is whether EBU will change rules again for the contest in 2024, in a way that will give less power to the jury.
Example changes that would count:
making jury score 40% of total score
fully removing jury
splitting Rest of World public score into multiple ones per continent/region without adding corresponding juries (that would not be an explicit rule to give jury less power, but would de facto make artists get proportionally more points from the public)
removing juries but only from Big 5 countries
Example changes that would not count:
having 10 instead of 5 jury members per country
adding Rest of World jury
making jury score 60% of total score
Moreover the change must be a part of official scoring rules. If a single country jury score will be cancelled during the contest due to their suspicious behaviour, then it does not count for the resolution of this market.
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@ScipioFabius Yes, any decrease would count. Last year it moved from 50% to 49.4% because of the introduction of so called Rest Of World vote, so if there would be a similar market for 2023 I would resolve it as YES