Anonymous Twitter user Nod (@nizzaneela) thinks the Covid origins paper Pekar et al 2022 is fatally flawed by logic errors.

Nod left a number of disgruntled and often incoherent comments on pubpeer:
https://pubpeer.com/publications/3FB983CC74C0A93394568A373167CE#1

At the end of this session, scientists asked if Nod could explain some basic questions about the epidemic in Wuhan:

https://pubpeer.com/publications/3FB983CC74C0A93394568A373167CE#26

Nod was unable to answer these basic questions.

This market predicts whether or not Nod will publish a paper with his own epidemic model for Covid's early spread in Wuhan, which includes such relevant details as the size of the epidemic over time, the identity of the MRCA, the timing of the virus' introduction, and the timing of the mutations between lineage A, lineage B, and any other proposed MRCA.

Market resolves Yes if Nod is able to publish a paper on these questions, which passes peer review, before the end of 2025.