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This market resolves based on the Rootclaim debate outcome -- for instance, if one judge votes for lab leak but the other judge votes undecided, then the judge voting lab leak will be more favorable to the lab leak theory.
If one judge votes for a natural origin of covid and the other votes undecided, the judge voting undecided will be more favorable to lab leak.
It was requested, but not required, that judges give a number to estimate the relative probability of the 2 Covid origin theories.
If both judges vote for the same origin theory, but both provide numbers for probability, then the judge giving a higher probability to lab leak will be deemed more favorable to lab leak (regardless of whether either probability is under or over 50%).
If both judges vote for the same theory but don't both specify odds for comparison, then this market will resolve N/A.
For anyone struggling to remember names, Will was the one keeping time during the debate.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ121 | |
2 | Ṁ29 | |
3 | Ṁ11 | |
4 | Ṁ9 | |
5 | Ṁ1 |