Will the Steve Kirsch/Rootclaim bet about COVID-19 vaccine deaths resolve to a tie? | Manifold

Will the Steve Kirsch/Rootclaim bet about COVID-19 vaccine deaths resolve to a tie?

9

234

Ṁ109

Ṁ150

2025

42%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

A tie being any total score from the judges of 3 to -3, where neither participant must pay any money to the other.

View the exact terms of the bet here, and the background here and here.

Resolves N/A if the bet is cancelled.

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Culture War questions

If I offer someone on a plane $20 to take off their mask for the remainder of the flight, will they accept?

Will SpaceX be forced to hire refugees and asylum seekers following the announced US DOJ lawsuit?

Related questions

Scott Alexander is planning a COVID origins bet. If there is a debate, will judges conclude COVID came from a lab leak?

If the COVID lab leak market resolves NO, will it be controversial?

Will Scott Alexander make a 6+ digit bet related to COVID, by EOY 2024?

Will Rootclaim debate covid origins a second time?

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If @PeterMillerc030 places a large bet of $10,000 USD or more on the origins of Covid, will they pay out if they lose?

If Rootclaim loses their bet with Steve Kirsch over COVID-19 vaccine deaths, will they pay the money?

Will Rootclaim change their COVID origins probability by at least 30% by end of 2024?

When will Isaac King's "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market resolve?