FDA Approves Openwater Cancer Treatment by 2032 | Manifold

FDA Approves Openwater Cancer Treatment by 2032

Plus

4

Ṁ111

2032

45%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Openwater (https://openwater.health) has a device that damages cancer cells selectively with ultrasound.

This market will resolve YES if any cancer treatment using Openwater's ultrasound technology is approved by the FDA before January 1, 2032 for one or more cancer indications.

Any FDA approval for treating cancer outside of a clinical trial counts, even if it only covers a small set of patients.

If Openwater's technology gets transferred to another entity, use of that technology will count as long as it involves focused ultrasound.

I have a blog post about the treatment here: https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2025/01/13/openwaters-cancer-treatment/

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