
At least 10,000 North Korean soldiers deployed in the Russia/Ukraine war by Oct 2025
30
100Ṁ4153Oct 30
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a reputable source (in my subjective judgement) reports that 10,000 or more North Korean soldiers are deployed in active military action (not training, not logistics) by Oct 30th 2025
Since this will most likely not have perfect information to resolve, I reserve the right to resolve 50%, N/A in edge cases. I won't trade in this market.
https://x.com/powerfultakes/status/1844854829681872902
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
North Korean troops in Ukraine by mid 2025
19% chance
German troops deployed in Ukraine in 2025?
16% chance
Will any North Korean soldier defect after being deployed in Ukraine by 2026?
2% chance
Will North Korean troops intentionally enter South Korea by the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will a Russo-Ukrainian prisoner exchange involving at least ten (10) North Koreans occur before Q3, 2025?
15% chance
Will at least 20 NK soldiers surrender to Ukraine before the end of January 2025
54% chance
Will a peacekeeping force of at least 10,000 non-Ukrainian European soldiers be stationed in Ukraine by years' end?
16% chance
Which NATO countries will officially send soldiers to fight in Ukraine before the end of 2025?