Description:
This prediction market focuses on the growth and adoption of web3 gaming. Participants will speculate on whether any web3-based game will reach a milestone of 250,000 monthly active users (MAUs) by December 31, 2024. The market considers the evolving landscape of blockchain technology, NFT integration, and decentralized gaming platforms.
Conditions:
1. Eligibility of Games:
- Only games that are based on web3 technology, including those using blockchain, NFTs, or decentralized systems, will be considered.
2. User Count Verification:
- The count of monthly active users must be verified by a credible third-party analytics service.
- Self-reported data from the game developers or publishers will not be accepted unless verified independently.
3. Measurement Period:
- The measurement of monthly active users will be based on the last available data before December 31, 2024.
- If a game reaches 250,000 MAUs before the end date, the market will resolve as soon as this is independently verified.
4. Multiple Games Qualifying:
- If more than one game achieves this milestone, the market will still resolve as positive.
- The first game to reach the milestone will be highlighted in the market's resolution.
Resolution:
- The market will resolve as 'Yes' if any eligible web3 game reaches or exceeds 250,000 monthly active users by the end date.
- If no game reaches this threshold, the market will resolve as 'No'.