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MANIFOLD
Will I reach top 50 by volume on Manifold by EOY 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ10
Dec 31
55%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if my Manifold Markets account ranks in the top 50 (ranks 1 through 50, inclusive) on the all-time trading volume leaderboard at or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.

Resolution will be determined using the official Manifold leaderboard:

If the leaderboard is organized by distinct timeframes (e.g., all-time vs. annual/monthly), this market resolves based on the all-time volume ranking unless specified otherwise by creator announcement prior to resolution. A snapshot, archive, or direct platform verification as of EOY 2026 will serve as the source of truth.

Background

Manifold tracks user statistics including total betting/trading volume across markets. Reaching the top 50 on the all-time leaderboard requires significant aggregate market activity, competing against high-volume algorithmic traders, automated bots, and long-standing active platform participants.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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