Will a breakaway in the 2023 Tour de France reach a lead of 15 minutes over the main peloton?
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resolved Jul 9
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YES

The gap needs to be shown on screen with the main peloton at least 15 minutes behind the race leader. The main peloton for the purposes of this question is the group of the yellow jersey OR if the yellow jersey is dropped, the group with most GC contenders.

If there is some disputed scenario I will just rule using my best judgement.

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Do you have stats on this? From Wikipedia it seems 15+ minute breakaways are pretty rare.

predicted NO

@NicoDelon I found this list, which is about the longest gaps between first and second place. Your question is about breakaway and pack.

Since 1947, there have been thirteen breakaways such that the winner finished over 10 minutes ahead of second place, six over 15 minutes.

http://www.ledicodutour.com/statistiques/echappees.html

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