If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?
124
1.8kṀ11k2099
50%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will remain open perpetually until its resolution unless China, Taiwan or the US stop existing.
This question will resolve after the conflict between China and Taiwan ends. If there is still fighting on the island after multiple years and the US intervenes much later in the war, this still resolves YES.
Direct intervention requires US forces engaging Chinese ones, this can include and is not limited to: Engaging Chinese naval assets, deploying boots on the ground in Taiwan, missile strikes on Chinese military bases, etc.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
When will China invade Taiwan
If China invades Taiwan, will Manifold predict it?
73% chance
If China tries to invade Taiwan, will Japan become militarily involved?
76% chance
If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be Chinese strikes on American soil?
If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be American strikes on Chinese soil?
83% chance
If China tries to invade Taiwan, will Australia become militarily involved?
39% chance
If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?
58% chance
If China tries to invade Taiwan, will the Philippines become militarily involved?
55% chance
If China tries to invade Taiwan, will India become militarily involved?
27% chance
If China tries to invade Taiwan, will South Korea become militarily involved?
57% chance