Conditional on Gaza being controlled by Israel, will Palestine's Civil Liberties Index in 2024 be higher than 2022?
Basic
4
Ṁ40
resolved Feb 20
Resolved
N/A

Resolves NA if the market "Will Gaza be de facto controlled by Israel by the end of 2023" resolves NO.

https://manifold.markets/connorwilliams97/will-gaza-be-de-facto-controlled-by?r=UGF1bGY0ZGI

It only resolves YES or NO if Israel remains in de facto control of Gaza throughout 2024.

If that condition is met, resolves YES if the Civil Liberties Index for 2024 is strictly greater than 3.5 according to this page:

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/civil-liberties-index-eiu?tab=chart&country=PSE

Resolves NO if the condition is met and the Index is 3.5 or less.

Resolves NA if we get to the end of 2025 and the graph hasn't updated with a number for 2024.

Market for Hamas being in control here:

https://manifold.markets/Paulf4db/conditional-on-gaza-being-controlle-629cd670dba7?r=UGF1bGY0ZGI

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This should resolve N/A