Some say that OpenAI will not release any new models until after the Election is over due to fears of AI content being used in an adversarial way. If OpenAI releases a new major or minor release of the GPT model (assuming major.minor making scheme, then GPT 4.X, GPT 5, etc...) prior or on election day, this will be resolved as true.

Update: Per the answers to people's comments below, I'm adding clarification. A 'new' gpt model requires for an update in the Major.Minor naming scheme. Previously models went GPT 2, GPT 3, GPT 3.5, GPT 4, following a major.minor scheme, as the underlying model got better. Following this logic GPT4 turbo and gpt4o aren't new models. GPT 4 Turbo just goes faster and 4o is multi-modal. Same brains, just more ways to interface.

This prediction will resolve at the night of the American election, or if openAI releases a new model (per the major.minor naming scheme) before then.

Feel free to ask more questions/comment if need.